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India

Covid-19 3rd Wave Likely in August, Peak in October, Say Experts

The researchers claim that India will witness 1,00,000 daily infections in a best case scenario and upto 1,50,000 daily infections in a worst case scenario.

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Image used For Representational Purpose. (PTI Photo)

New Delhi: A group of researchers led by Mathukumalli Vidyasagar and Manindra Agrawal at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Hyderabad and Kanpur respectively have predicted that Covid-19 cases will against rise from mid-August that will signal the star of the third wave of Covid-19. The peak of the cases 

The researchers claim that India will witness 1,00,000 daily infections in a best case scenario and upto 1,50,000 daily infections in a worst case scenario.

However, they predicted that the third wave will be far less deadly as compared ot the second wave where daily infections crossed the 4-lakh mark.at its peak in May.

The mathematical model used by the team had also accurately predicted the second wave of Covid-19.

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One of the concerns for the third wave is the Delta strain of the Covid-19 which was responsible for the deadly second wave.

The strain is believed to be more transmissible than the Alpha variant first identified in Wuhan.

Earlier, Dr Samiran Panda, Head of Epidemiology and infectious diseases at the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) had said that the third Covid-19 wave would hit by the end of August. 

“There might be a third as it is not inevitable than the second wave. If the third wave happens, it will hit sometime around August end, it is not inevitable,” said Dr Panda.

“When will the third wave come and how severe it can be, all these questions are related to many factors which are not known to the full extent,” she added.

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Meanwhile, India on Monday reported 40,134 new Covid-19 cases down from 41,831  reported a day earlier. The cases came down by 1,697 as compared to Sunday. The number of deaths came down to 422 on Monday from 546, the previous day. This was the third day in a row that deaths remained under the 600-mark.

36,946 recoveries were reported in the same period taking the total tally to 3,08,57,467.

With these additions, the tool number of cases reported since the start of the pandemic has risen to 3,16,95,958 while the death toll stands at 4,24,773.

With inputs from ANI